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V-Lab

Schwab Core Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

4.25%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

4.28%

increased by 0.02%

1 Month

4.30%

increased by 0.04%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Schwab Core Bond ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 5, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0366
0.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0366
-0.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0694
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0637
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.018

Half-life:

0 days