Schwab Core Bond ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
4.25%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
4.28%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
4.30%
increased by 0.04%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 5, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0366 | 0.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0366 | -0.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0694 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0637 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.018
Half-life:
0 days
Other Schwab Core Bond ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs