Roundhill 100 0Dte Strgy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
24.33%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Week
24.14%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Month
23.47%
decreased by 2.35%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2024 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8425 | 53.50*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1717 | 8.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.9701 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3992 | 0.19 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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