V-Lab
Roundhill Nasdaq-100 0DTE Covered Call ETF Strategy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
13.08%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Week
13.77%
increased by 0.46%
1 Month
15.64%
increased by 2.33%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8452 | 17.47*** |
| γleverage | 0.1669 | 3.83*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.2540 | 0.54 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0666 | 0.61 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.7371 | 1.87* |
0.929
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8452 | 17.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1669 | 3.83*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2540 | 0.54 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0666 | 0.61 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7371 | 1.87* |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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