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V-Lab

Roundhill 100 0Dte Strgy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

26.62%

increased by 2.19%

1 Week

26.01%

increased by 1.58%

1 Month

24.63%

increased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill 100 0Dte Strgy ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8466
53.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1616
7.62***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.9530
0.17
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3945
0.17
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days