V-Lab
Roundhill 100 0Dte Strgy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
17.53%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Week
17.74%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Month
18.26%
decreased by 0.10%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8343 | 49.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1810 | 14.27*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2733 | 0.45 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0751 | 0.46 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7282 | 1.24 |
Persistence:
0.925
Half-life:
9 days
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