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V-Lab

Roundhill 100 0Dte Strgy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

17.53%

decreased by 0.83%

1 Week

17.74%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

18.26%

decreased by 0.10%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill 100 0Dte Strgy ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2024 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8343
49.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1810
14.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2733
0.45
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0751
0.46
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7282
1.24

Persistence:

0.925

Half-life:

9 days