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Roundhill Nasdaq-100 0DTE Covered Call ETF Strategy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 27th, 2026

1 Day

23.90%

decreased by 1.50%

1 Week

23.36%

decreased by 2.04%

1 Month

21.86%

decreased by 3.54%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 26, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/26/2024

to

10/26/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Roundhill Nasdaq-100 0DTE Covered Call ETF Strategy ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2024 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8465
17.86***
γleverage0.1664
3.95***
λ₁tau intercept0.2901
0.53
λ₂forecast adj.0.0722
0.59
λ₃tau persistence0.7104
1.56

0.930

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8465
17.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1664
3.95***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2901
0.53
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0722
0.59
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7104
1.56

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days