V-Lab
Roundhill 100 0Dte Strgy ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
26.62%
increased by 2.19%
1 Week
26.01%
increased by 1.58%
1 Month
24.63%
increased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2024 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8466 | 53.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1616 | 7.62*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.9530 | 0.17 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3945 | 0.17 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.927
Half-life:
9 days
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