V-Lab
Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
1.07%
decreased by 0.18%
1 Week
1.08%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
1.07%
decreased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 56 | |
| αARCH | 0.0553 | |
| βGARCH | 0.0222 | |
| γleverage | 0.1632 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0029 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0075 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 |
0.159
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 56 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0553 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0222 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1632 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0029 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0075 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 |
Persistence:
0.159
Half-life:
0 days
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