Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
5.58%
increased by 4.31%
1 Week
160,094.82%
increased by 160,093.55%
1 Month
1,316,594,242,733,880,400,000,000.00%
increased by 1,316,594,242,733,880,400,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2026 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0066 | 15.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0052 | 167.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 15.84*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0350 | 17.87*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 10.00*** |
Persistence:
0.262
Half-life:
1 days
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