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Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

11.27%

decreased by 7.86%

1 Week

451,446,610,796.89%

increased by 451,446,610,777.76%

1 Month

14,190,412,256,167,894,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

increased by 14,190,412,256,167,894,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 59% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: Positive returns increase volatility 59% more than negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.8979
103.07***
βGARCH0.0000
0.05
γleverage-0.3325
-23.64***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.9775
61.21***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.01

0.732

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.8979
103.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.05
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3325
-23.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9775
61.21***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.01

Persistence:

0.732

Half-life:

2 days