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Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

7.52%

increased by 3.09%

1 Week

5.12%

increased by 0.69%

1 Month

4.05%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0451
βGARCH0.2445
γleverage0.0407
λ₁tau intercept0.0225
λ₂forecast adj.0.0039
λ₃tau persistence0.5386

0.310

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0451
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2445
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0407
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0225
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0039
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5386

Persistence:

0.310

Half-life:

1 days