V-Lab
Gabelli Opportunities in Live and Sports ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
14.56%
1 Week
264,758,999,847.03%
1 Month
352,745,574,033,183,300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 26 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.21 |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 18.57*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.8675 | 80.43*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
0.250
Persistence1d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.06 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.21 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 18.57*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8675 | 80.43*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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