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V-Lab

Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

262.51%

decreased by 57.40%

1 Week

224.40%

decreased by 95.51%

1 Month

209.19%

decreased by 110.72%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
35.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2520
43.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-35.76***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0380
3.57***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9397
45.85***

Persistence:

0.502

Half-life:

1 days