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V-Lab

Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

71.35%

increased by 7.82%

1 Week

942.07%

increased by 878.54%

1 Month

257,125,541.32%

increased by 257,125,477.79%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2X SNDK Long Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5000
145.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3768
562.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-144.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0233
176.70***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5663
1,451.94***

Persistence:

0.627

Half-life:

1 days