Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026
1 Day
60.54%
increased by 0.54%
1 Week
61.53%
increased by 1.53%
1 Month
60.42%
increased by 0.42%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0181 | 0.57 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | -0.0181 | -0.69 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 1.91* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.3430 | 2.84*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0096 | 0.03 |
0.009
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0181 | 0.57 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0181 | -0.69 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.91* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3430 | 2.84*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0096 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.009
Half-life:
0 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
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