Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
54.10%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
55.11%
increased by 0.87%
1 Month
56.69%
increased by 2.45%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0260 | 0.87 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | -0.0260 | -1.02 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 9.8965 | 1.89* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.3118 | 2.78*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.013
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0260 | 0.87 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0260 | -1.02 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.8965 | 1.89* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3118 | 2.78*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.013
Half-life:
0 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
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