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V-Lab
V-Lab

Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

66.26%

increased by 1.95%

1 Week

66.07%

increased by 1.76%

1 Month

63.71%

decreased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0168
0.52
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.0065
0.23
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
1.70*
λ₂forecast adj.0.2817
2.64***
λ₃tau persistence0.0790
0.19

0.020

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0168
0.52
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0065
0.23
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.70*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2817
2.64***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0790
0.19

Persistence:

0.020

Half-life:

0 days