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V-Lab

Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

62.75%

increased by 4.46%

1 Week

63.08%

increased by 4.79%

1 Month

65.48%

increased by 7.19%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0924
13.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7996
28.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0571
6.72***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2875
0.16
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0795
0.01

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days