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V-Lab
V-Lab

Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

54.10%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

55.11%

increased by 0.87%

1 Month

56.69%

increased by 2.45%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0260
0.87
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage-0.0260
-1.02
λ₁tau intercept9.8965
1.89*
λ₂forecast adj.0.3118
2.78***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.013

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0260
0.87
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0260
-1.02
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.8965
1.89*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3118
2.78***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.013

Half-life:

0 days