V-Lab
Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
62.75%
increased by 4.46%
1 Week
63.08%
increased by 4.79%
1 Month
65.48%
increased by 7.19%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0924 | 13.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7996 | 28.64*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0571 | 6.72*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2875 | 0.16 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0795 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
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