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V-Lab

Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

52.85%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Week

53.57%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Month

56.12%

increased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8921
204.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1367
30.05***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

9.3025
0.26
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1682
0.28
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.2709
0.10

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days