V-Lab
Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
66.26%
increased by 1.95%
1 Week
66.07%
increased by 1.76%
1 Month
63.71%
decreased by 0.60%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 21 | |
| αARCH | 0.0168 | 0.52 |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0065 | 0.23 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | 1.70* |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.2817 | 2.64*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0790 | 0.19 |
0.020
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0168 | 0.52 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0065 | 0.23 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 1.70* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2817 | 2.64*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0790 | 0.19 |
Persistence:
0.020
Half-life:
0 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on ETFs