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V-Lab
V-Lab

Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

60.54%

increased by 0.54%

1 Week

61.53%

increased by 1.53%

1 Month

60.42%

increased by 0.42%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0181
0.57
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage-0.0181
-0.69
λ₁tau intercept10.0000
1.91*
λ₂forecast adj.0.3430
2.84***
λ₃tau persistence0.0096
0.03

0.009

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0181
0.57
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0181
-0.69
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
1.91*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3430
2.84***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0096
0.03

Persistence:

0.009

Half-life:

0 days