V-Lab
Purpose Solana ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
52.85%
decreased by 1.52%
1 Week
53.57%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Month
56.12%
increased by 1.75%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8921 | 204.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1367 | 30.05*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 9.3025 | 0.26 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1682 | 0.28 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.2709 | 0.10 |
Persistence:
0.960
Half-life:
17 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
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