V-Lab
Purpose Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
57.32%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
59.76%
increased by 1.57%
1 Month
64.86%
increased by 6.67%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 40.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 19.5370 | 23.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0856 | 5.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9043 | 48.64*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 40.2371 | 0.17 |
Persistence:
0.904
Half-life:
7 days
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