Purpose Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
55.26%
decreased by 1.08%
1 Week
57.80%
increased by 1.46%
1 Month
63.04%
increased by 6.70%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 09:06 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 15.44 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-lifev = 15.44 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 19.0492 | 3.64*** |
| αscore | 0.0837 | 1.21 |
| βpersistence | 0.9018 | 11.76*** |
| νDF | 15.4386 | 0.11 |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 19.0492 | 3.64*** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0837 | 1.21 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9018 | 11.76*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 15.4386 | 0.11 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
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