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V-Lab

Purpose Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

57.32%

decreased by 0.87%

1 Week

59.76%

increased by 1.57%

1 Month

64.86%

increased by 6.67%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Purpose Solana ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 40.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

19.5370
23.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0856
5.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9043
48.64***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

40.2371
0.17

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days