Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Purpose Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

58.26%

increased by 3.39%

1 Week

60.53%

increased by 5.66%

1 Month

65.14%

increased by 10.27%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:07 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Purpose Solana ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 13.20 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-lifev = 13.20 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst19.2508
3.00***
αARCH0.0868
1.15
βGARCH0.8978
11.07***
νDF13.1998
0.13

0.898

Persistence

6d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

19.2508
3.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0868
1.15
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8978
11.07***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

13.1998
0.13

Persistence:

0.898

Half-life:

6 days