V-Lab
Purpose Solana ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
69.48%
increased by 4.10%
1 Week
69.50%
increased by 4.12%
1 Month
69.57%
increased by 4.19%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 32.67 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 19.2475 | 20.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0953 | 6.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9131 | 57.44*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 32.6700 | 0.26 |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
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