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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

59.98%

increased by 1.90%

1 Week

60.96%

increased by 2.88%

1 Month

63.92%

increased by 5.84%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.70 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-lifev = 5.70 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run20.5230
0.71
αscore0.0922
1.53
βpersistence0.9608
21.86***
νDF5.6954
0.29

0.961

Persistence

17d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

20.5230
0.71
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0922
1.53
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9608
21.86***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.6954
0.29

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days