V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
59.22%
increased by 1.27%
1 Week
51.08%
decreased by 6.87%
1 Month
48.80%
decreased by 9.15%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.6573 | 5.17*** |
| αARCH | 0.1971 | 1.88* |
| βGARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 2.2015 | 3.31*** |
0.197
Persistence0d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.6573 | 5.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1971 | 1.88* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 2.2015 | 3.31*** |
Persistence:
0.197
Half-life:
0 days
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