V-Lab
Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
44.25%
increased by 0.20%
1 Week
46.02%
increased by 1.97%
1 Month
46.42%
increased by 2.37%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 24, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.7067 | 5.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1452 | 1.40 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 3.2711 | 4.07*** |
Persistence:
0.145
Half-life:
0 days
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