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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

92.31%

increased by 46.54%

1 Week

72.93%

increased by 27.16%

1 Month

65.61%

increased by 19.84%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 157% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 157% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6801
2.79***
αARCH0.6656
3.79***
βGARCH0.3915
1.84*
γleverage-0.2925
-2.37**

0.391

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6801
2.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6656
3.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.3915
1.84*
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.2925
-2.37**

Persistence:

0.391

Half-life:

1 days