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V-Lab
V-Lab

Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

54.34%

increased by 5.02%

1 Week

53.68%

increased by 4.36%

1 Month

51.57%

increased by 2.25%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:48 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Grayscale Dogecoin Trust Doge ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 24, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3198
1.41
αARCH0.2097
1.25
βGARCH0.7667
7.02***
γleverage-0.0326
-0.15

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3198
1.41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2097
1.25
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7667
7.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0326
-0.15

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days