Skip to main content
V-Lab

Fidelity WSE Orgn Bitcoin FD Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

30.11%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

32.79%

increased by 1.55%

1 Month

39.11%

increased by 7.87%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fidelity WSE Orgn Bitcoin FD AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2024 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5827
13.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2119
8.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6962
63.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0579
1.53

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days