V-Lab
iShares China Large-Cap ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
17.35%
decreased by 1.59%
1 Week
18.44%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Month
21.78%
increased by 2.84%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 47% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1062 | 29.32*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2153 | 30.26*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7115 | 156.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1012 | 8.33*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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