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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

24.74%

increased by 1.58%

1 Week

24.97%

increased by 1.81%

1 Month

25.83%

increased by 2.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 84 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 99% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0430
8.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0623
11.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8986
167.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0618
8.90***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

84 days