V-Lab
iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
12.42%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
12.80%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Month
14.11%
increased by 1.19%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 5, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 91% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0285 | 12.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1066 | 19.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8304 | 353.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0968 | 7.62*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
47 days
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