V-Lab
iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
14.14%
decreased by 0.91%
1 Week
14.81%
decreased by 0.24%
1 Month
17.02%
increased by 1.97%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 56% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0508 | 23.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1516 | 30.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7907 | 208.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0856 | 8.50*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
46 days
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