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iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026

1 Day

22.58%

decreased by 1.26%

1 Week

22.79%

decreased by 1.05%

1 Month

23.55%

decreased by 0.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/06/2024

to

10/06/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 131% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 131% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0521
6.22***
αARCH0.0802
6.99***
βGARCH0.8515
81.79***
γleverage0.1047
4.40***

0.984

Persistence

43d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0521
6.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0802
6.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8515
81.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1047
4.40***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

43 days