V-Lab
iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 7th, 2026
1 Day
22.58%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Week
22.79%
decreased by 1.05%
1 Month
23.55%
decreased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 131% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 131% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0521 | 6.22*** |
| αARCH | 0.0802 | 6.99*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8515 | 81.79*** |
| γleverage | 0.1047 | 4.40*** |
0.984
Persistence43d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0521 | 6.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0802 | 6.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8515 | 81.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1047 | 4.40*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
43 days
Other iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on ETFs