V-Lab
iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026
1 Day
23.25%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
23.54%
decreased by 0.51%
1 Month
24.49%
increased by 0.44%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 1, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0714 | 4.51*** |
| αARCH | 0.0214 | 2.02** |
| βGARCH | 0.8929 | 87.72*** |
| γleverage | 0.1298 | 4.26*** |
0.979
Persistence33d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0714 | 4.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0214 | 2.02** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8929 | 87.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1298 | 4.26*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
Other iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs