Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
86.95%
decreased by 1.50%
1 Week
88.70%
increased by 0.25%
1 Month
94.73%
increased by 6.28%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 16, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 42 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 42 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 42-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1073 | 0.28 |
| αARCH | 0.1307 | 0.61 |
| βGARCH | 0.9184 | 10.19*** |
| γleverage | -0.1307 | -0.60 |
0.984
Persistence42d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1073 | 0.28 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1307 | 0.61 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9184 | 10.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1307 | -0.60 |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
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