V-Lab
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
163.59%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
167.52%
increased by 3.93%
1 Month
180.45%
increased by 16.86%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.55 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1056 | 2.45** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9250 | 41.36*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1056 | -2.27** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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