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V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

152.19%

increased by 10.40%

1 Week

156.42%

increased by 14.63%

1 Month

169.95%

increased by 28.16%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.62
αARCH0.1349
1.05
βGARCH0.8798
13.14***
γleverage-0.0804
-0.49

0.974

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.62
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1349
1.05
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8798
13.14***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0804
-0.49

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

27 days