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V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026

1 Day

163.59%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

167.52%

increased by 3.93%

1 Month

180.45%

increased by 16.86%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 27, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.55
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1056
2.45**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9250
41.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1056
-2.27**

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days