Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

344.27%

increased by 12.42%

1 Week

342.69%

increased by 10.84%

1 Month

336.91%

increased by 5.06%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:16 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 45-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.73
αARCH0.1453
1.28
βGARCH0.8360
11.22***
γleverage0.0069
0.03

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.73
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1453
1.28
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8360
11.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0069
0.03

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days