V-Lab
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
146.14%
decreased by 16.18%
1 Week
166.90%
increased by 4.58%
1 Month
197.22%
increased by 34.90%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0733 | 1.69* |
| αARCH | 0.4138 | 2.97*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7933 | 6.61*** |
| γleverage | 0.0720 | 0.56 |
0.793
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0733 | 1.69* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4138 | 2.97*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7933 | 6.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0720 | 0.56 |
Persistence:
0.793
Half-life:
3 days
Other Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs