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V-Lab

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

135.98%

decreased by 6.51%

1 Week

141.51%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Month

158.80%

increased by 16.31%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance Daily Target 2X Long LUNR ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 27 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 27 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 27-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.48
αARCH0.1262
2.21**
βGARCH0.8482
9.20***

0.974

Persistence

27d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.48
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1262
2.21**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8482
9.20***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

27 days