V-Lab
Jpmorgan US Bond Active ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
5.34%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Week
6.12%
increased by 0.38%
1 Month
6.35%
increased by 0.61%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:04 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1109 | 9.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3216 | 4.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.322
Half-life:
1 days
Other Jpmorgan US Bond Active ETF Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on ETFs