iShares MSCI South Korea ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
73.81%
increased by 1.69%
1 Week
73.44%
increased by 1.32%
1 Month
71.99%
decreased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2000 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0305 | 15.90*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0715 | 35.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9220 | 435.74*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
107 days
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