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V-Lab

iShares MSCI South Korea ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

73.81%

increased by 1.69%

1 Week

73.44%

increased by 1.32%

1 Month

71.99%

decreased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI South Korea ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 107 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0305
15.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0715
35.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9220
435.74***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

107 days