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V-Lab

Jpmorgan US Bond Active ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

6.07%

increased by 0.82%

1 Week

6.21%

increased by 0.96%

1 Month

6.25%

increased by 1.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan US Bond Active ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1092
14.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5964
1.95*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5964
-1.95*

Persistence:

0.298

Half-life:

1 days