V-Lab
Jpmorgan US Bond Active ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
6.07%
increased by 0.82%
1 Week
6.21%
increased by 0.96%
1 Month
6.25%
increased by 1.00%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 1, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1092 | 14.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5964 | 1.95* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5964 | -1.95* |
Persistence:
0.298
Half-life:
1 days
Other Jpmorgan US Bond Active ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs