V-Lab
Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
66.54%
decreased by 3.89%
1 Week
68.85%
decreased by 1.58%
1 Month
71.35%
increased by 0.92%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 25, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 6.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6385 | 16.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2435 | 3.26*** |
Persistence:
0.760
Half-life:
3 days
Other Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs