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V-Lab

Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

61.82%

decreased by 1.29%

1 Week

66.04%

increased by 2.93%

1 Month

70.49%

increased by 7.38%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Defiance BMNR Option Income ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 25, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
6.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6431
16.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2340
3.11***

Persistence:

0.760

Half-life:

3 days