V-Lab
Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
21.68%
decreased by 1.52%
1 Week
21.65%
decreased by 1.55%
1 Month
21.56%
decreased by 1.64%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0379 | 8.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8553 | 97.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2461 | 14.12*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
32 days
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