Skip to main content
V-Lab

Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

25.91%

decreased by 1.76%

1 Week

25.75%

decreased by 1.92%

1 Month

25.19%

decreased by 2.48%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0366
8.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8580
98.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2442
14.13***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

34 days