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V-Lab

Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

21.68%

decreased by 1.52%

1 Week

21.65%

decreased by 1.55%

1 Month

21.56%

decreased by 1.64%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 32 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 32 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0379
8.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8553
97.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2461
14.12***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

32 days