V-Lab
Monarch Blue Chips Elite Index ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
25.91%
decreased by 1.76%
1 Week
25.75%
decreased by 1.92%
1 Month
25.19%
decreased by 2.48%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 24, 2021 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0366 | 8.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8580 | 98.61*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2442 | 14.13*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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