V-Lab
Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
189.72%
decreased by 0.84%
1 Week
189.98%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Month
190.83%
increased by 0.27%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0197 | 0.27 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9566 | 63.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0197 | -0.28 |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
Other Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs