Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
173.65%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
173.58%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
173.32%
decreased by 0.37%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 2.3591 | 0.09 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9799 | 5.90*** |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.3591 | 0.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9799 | 5.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
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