V-Lab
Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
154.62%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
153.66%
decreased by 1.45%
1 Month
149.91%
decreased by 5.20%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Hessian SE
Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 111 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~111 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9938 | 0.07 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.994
Persistence111d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9938 | 0.07 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
111 days
Other Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs