V-Lab
Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 29th, 2026
1 Day
142.80%
decreased by 0.51%
1 Week
141.79%
decreased by 1.52%
1 Month
137.85%
decreased by 5.46%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 28, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 97 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~97 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9929 | 0.08 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.993
Persistence97d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9929 | 0.08 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
97 days
Other Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs