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V-Lab

Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

189.72%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Week

189.98%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Month

190.83%

increased by 0.27%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0197
0.27
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9566
63.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0197
-0.28

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days