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V-Lab

Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

143.92%

decreased by 17.03%

1 Week

161.95%

increased by 1.00%

1 Month

193.54%

increased by 32.59%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Tradr 2x Long USAR Daily ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 13, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst15.0000
0.81
αARCH0.3084
2.92***
βGARCH0.5789
20.24***
γleverage4.5939
1.45

0.887

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

15.0000
0.81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3084
2.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5789
20.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

4.5939
1.45

Persistence:

0.887

Half-life:

6 days