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V-Lab

Renaissance International IPO ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

23.86%

increased by 2.44%

1 Week

23.88%

increased by 2.46%

1 Month

23.93%

increased by 2.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Renaissance International IPO ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 7, 2014 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.54) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0835
13.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1199
28.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8287
174.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5367
12.22***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days