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iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

24.58%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

25.32%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Month

27.61%

increased by 2.02%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 14, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.03) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0624
1.74*
αARCH0.0748
7.20***
βGARCH0.8971
75.35***
γleverage1.0322
4.72***

0.972

Persistence

24d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0624
1.74*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0748
7.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8971
75.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0322
4.72***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days