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iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

23.94%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Week

24.11%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Month

24.73%

decreased by 0.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2000 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.55) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0205
2.22**
αARCH0.0884
10.90***
βGARCH0.8979
109.40***
γleverage0.5541
5.85***

0.986

Persistence

50d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0205
2.22**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0884
10.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8979
109.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5541
5.85***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

50 days