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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

23.65%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

23.76%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

24.17%

decreased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2000 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 186% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 186% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0334
4.95***
αARCH0.0402
3.84***
βGARCH0.9119
115.11***
γleverage0.0750
3.80***

0.990

Persistence

66d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0334
4.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0402
3.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9119
115.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0750
3.80***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

66 days