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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026

1 Day

27.66%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Week

27.68%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

27.74%

decreased by 0.94%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2000 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 187% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 187% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0330
4.94***
αARCH0.0399
3.83***
βGARCH0.9126
116.15***
γleverage0.0745
3.80***

0.990

Persistence

67d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0330
4.94***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0399
3.83***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9126
116.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0745
3.80***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

67 days