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iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

74.27%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

73.68%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

71.39%

decreased by 2.91%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2000 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 72 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 201% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.990, shock half-life ~72 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 201% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0333
4.89***
αARCH0.0393
3.76***
βGARCH0.9115
116.19***
γleverage0.0791
3.83***

0.990

Persistence

72d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0333
4.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0393
3.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9115
116.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0791
3.83***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

72 days