V-Lab
iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 23rd, 2026
1 Day
27.66%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
27.68%
decreased by 1.00%
1 Month
27.74%
decreased by 0.94%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2000 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 187% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 187% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0330 | 4.94*** |
| αARCH | 0.0399 | 3.83*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9126 | 116.15*** |
| γleverage | 0.0745 | 3.80*** |
0.990
Persistence67d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0330 | 4.94*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0399 | 3.83*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9126 | 116.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0745 | 3.80*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
Other iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs