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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

33.33%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Week

33.04%

decreased by 2.01%

1 Month

32.05%

decreased by 3.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 25 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.8665
8.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0879
9.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8849
74.91***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ10.0206
1.98**
γ2-0.0315
-1.89*
γ30.0330
2.49**
γ4-0.0325
-3.49***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days