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V-Lab

Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026

1 Day

53.64%

decreased by 3.65%

1 Week

53.29%

decreased by 4.00%

1 Month

52.13%

decreased by 5.16%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 12:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Betapro Nasdaq-100 -2X D ETF S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 18, 2008 to Jul 3, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4446
7.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1164
8.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8524
53.18***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ10.0219
3.97***
γ2-0.0272
-3.90***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days