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Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

22.25%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

22.48%

decreased by 0.33%

1 Month

23.22%

increased by 0.41%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:21 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 29 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1718
5.90***
αARCH0.0906
7.69***
βGARCH0.8856
69.01***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0124
-0.96
γ20.0349
1.88*
γ3-0.0328
-3.61***

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1718
5.90***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0906
7.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8856
69.01***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=3
γ1-0.0124
-0.96
γ20.0349
1.88*
γ3-0.0328
-3.61***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days