V-Lab
Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
18.93%
decreased by 0.99%
1 Week
19.09%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Month
19.67%
decreased by 0.25%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 172% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0146 | 5.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1533 | 31.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9825 | 846.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0709 | -15.13*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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