V-Lab
iShares MSCI Switzerland Capped ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
21.92%
increased by 0.11%
1 Week
21.90%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
21.86%
increased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 257% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 257% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0111 | 1.47 |
| αARCH | 0.1507 | 9.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9819 | 236.71*** |
| γleverage | -0.0848 | -6.15*** |
0.982
Persistence38d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0111 | 1.47 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1507 | 9.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9819 | 236.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0848 | -6.15*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
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