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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

32.70%

decreased by 2.11%

1 Week

32.37%

decreased by 2.44%

1 Month

31.25%

decreased by 3.56%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 14, 2003 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0178
9.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1613
34.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9805
965.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0773
-19.32***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days