V-Lab
iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
18.81%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Week
19.03%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Month
19.83%
increased by 0.70%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 2, 1996 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 293% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0191 | 2.40** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1476 | 9.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9788 | 245.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0878 | -6.80*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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