V-Lab
iShares MSCI Sweden Capped ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
16.80%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
17.09%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
18.20%
increased by 1.13%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 9, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 227% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0186 | 8.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1407 | 38.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9858 | 1,158.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0748 | -21.04*** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
49 days
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