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V-Lab

iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

0.36%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

0.36%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

0.36%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 11, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 68 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 68 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 68-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst-0.0781
-1.15
αARCH0.1133
4.79***
βGARCH0.9899
99.97***
γleverage0.0307
0.92

0.990

Persistence

68d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0781
-1.15
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1133
4.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9899
99.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0307
0.92

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days