V-Lab
iShares China Large-Cap ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
17.73%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
18.11%
increased by 0.28%
1 Month
19.56%
increased by 1.73%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 62% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0246 | 12.77*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1625 | 26.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9837 | 1,083.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0382 | -6.45*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
42 days
Other iShares China Large-Cap ETF Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs