V-Lab
iShares China Large-Cap ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
17.20%
increased by 1.01%
1 Week
17.65%
increased by 1.46%
1 Month
19.25%
increased by 3.06%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 8, 2004 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 59 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 59 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0457 | 3.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0798 | 5.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9085 | 63.31*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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