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V-Lab

State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

17.23%

decreased by 0.73%

1 Week

17.42%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

18.10%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 22, 1998 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 53 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 53 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0285
20.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0903
38.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8967
355.26***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days