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V-Lab

iShares MSCI Germany ETF GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

17.92%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

18.14%

increased by 0.37%

1 Month

18.93%

increased by 1.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Germany ETF GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 1, 1996 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 57 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 57 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0314
18.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0889
34.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8990
351.16***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days