V-Lab
iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
13.88%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
14.45%
increased by 0.23%
1 Month
16.31%
increased by 2.09%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 37 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 37 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0468 | 18.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0943 | 30.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8871 | 267.03*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
37 days
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