V-Lab
iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 28th, 2026
1 Day
16.21%
increased by 0.20%
1 Week
16.59%
increased by 0.58%
1 Month
17.84%
increased by 1.83%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 272% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0474 | 15.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0335 | 9.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8996 | 297.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0912 | 11.65*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
32 days
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