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V-Lab

iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

14.46%

increased by 0.23%

1 Week

14.95%

increased by 0.72%

1 Month

16.55%

increased by 2.32%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2007 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 269% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0468
15.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0338
9.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8995
298.45***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0911
11.65***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days