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V-Lab

iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, September 10th, 2026

1 Day

14.86%

increased by 0.66%

1 Week

15.31%

increased by 1.11%

1 Month

16.80%

increased by 2.60%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 02:21 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 264% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 264% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0459
3.75***
αARCH0.0344
2.34**
βGARCH0.8995
75.04***
γleverage0.0908
2.90***

0.979

Persistence

33d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0459
3.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0344
2.34**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8995
75.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0908
2.90***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days