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V-Lab

iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

13.85%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

14.40%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

16.14%

increased by 2.15%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 19, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 272% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0473
15.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0337
9.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8992
297.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0917
11.70***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

32 days