iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026
1 Day
18.63%
increased by 1.09%
1 Week
18.86%
increased by 1.32%
1 Month
19.63%
increased by 2.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 19, 2007 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 271% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 271% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0459 | 3.75*** |
| αARCH | 0.0336 | 2.31** |
| βGARCH | 0.9002 | 75.44*** |
| γleverage | 0.0910 | 2.93*** |
0.979
Persistence33d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0459 | 3.75*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0336 | 2.31** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9002 | 75.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0910 | 2.93*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
Other iShares MSCI BIC ETF Fund Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs