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iShares Russell 2000 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

30.19%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Week

29.88%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Month

28.78%

decreased by 2.27%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Russell 2000 ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 29, 2000 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0444
4.42***
αARCH0.0127
1.53
βGARCH0.8997
106.22***
γleverage0.1298
5.56***

0.977

Persistence

30d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0444
4.42***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0127
1.53
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8997
106.22***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1298
5.56***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

30 days