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iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

19.18%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

19.26%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

19.57%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 154% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 154% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0277
5.32***
αARCH0.0556
4.24***
βGARCH0.8872
84.81***
γleverage0.0855
3.19***

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0277
5.32***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0556
4.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8872
84.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0855
3.19***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days