Skip to main content
V-Lab

iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

15.59%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

15.81%

increased by 0.16%

1 Month

16.57%

increased by 0.92%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 160% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0277
21.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0539
16.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8882
340.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0865
12.87***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days