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iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

15.16%

increased by 0.81%

1 Week

15.39%

increased by 1.04%

1 Month

16.21%

increased by 1.86%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 158% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 158% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0276
5.29***
αARCH0.0547
4.18***
βGARCH0.8875
84.82***
γleverage0.0866
3.24***

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0276
5.29***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0547
4.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8875
84.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0866
3.24***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days