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V-Lab

iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

12.79%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Week

13.14%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

14.33%

increased by 1.06%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 159% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 159% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0276
5.30***
αARCH0.0541
4.14***
βGARCH0.8882
85.02***
γleverage0.0862
3.22***

0.985

Persistence

47d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0276
5.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0541
4.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8882
85.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0862
3.22***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days