Skip to main content
V-Lab

-1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

59.40%

decreased by 5.10%

1 Week

59.66%

decreased by 4.84%

1 Month

60.24%

decreased by 4.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of -1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4176
12.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7623
61.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2827
8.97***

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days