-1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
256.66%
decreased by 34.54%
1 Week
242.26%
decreased by 48.94%
1 Month
198.23%
decreased by 92.97%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 29, 2022 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.1876 | 3.05*** |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.7733 | 16.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.3281 | 2.44** |
0.937
Persistence11d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1876 | 3.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7733 | 16.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3281 | 2.44** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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