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-1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

49.34%

decreased by 3.04%

1 Week

51.43%

decreased by 0.95%

1 Month

55.88%

increased by 3.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of -1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3627
3.10***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7622
15.79***
γleverage0.2887
2.28**

0.907

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3627
3.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7622
15.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2887
2.28**

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days