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-1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

256.66%

decreased by 34.54%

1 Week

242.26%

decreased by 48.94%

1 Month

198.23%

decreased by 92.97%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:17 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of -1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2022 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1876
3.05***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7733
16.82***
γleverage0.3281
2.44**

0.937

Persistence

11d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1876
3.05***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7733
16.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3281
2.44**

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days