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-1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

45.55%

decreased by 2.06%

1 Week

48.44%

increased by 0.83%

1 Month

54.43%

increased by 6.82%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:26 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of -1x Short VIX Futures ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 29, 2022 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.3627
3.10***
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.7622
15.79***
γleverage0.2887
2.28**

0.907

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3627
3.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7622
15.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2887
2.28**

Persistence:

0.907

Half-life:

7 days